By Nancy Thorner -
For the first time ever a former president is out campaigning against Republicans and President Trump. Former US president Barack Obama, speaking in Florida ahead of Tuesday's midterm elections on Friday, November 2, 2018, says he hopes change will come from the country's current political turmoil. He also stressed that when people lie with abandon, democracy will fail. Is this a sign that Democrats are very scared?
Many Republicans are expressing concern over what they perceive will happen when the votes are tallied in tomorrow's mid-term elections. Thorner wrote this article to help alleviate the concerns of those who have been convinced that a "blue wave" is inevitable, not understanding how polls are being used as suppression polls for an unsuspecting public.
Last minute smears although typical of local campaigns, are not usual for major campaigns that have high visibility and media (or Internet) focus. This article is a good summary of last minute efforts to smear Republican candidates and get votes for Libertarian candidates. Another obvious dirty trick that will never be covered in the major media when North Dakota Democrats said to hunters that voting could cost you your hunting license.
Not unexpectedly, the Washington Post ran this report about President Trump: “President Trump, joined by many Republican candidates, is dramatically escalating his efforts to take advantage of racial divisions and cultural fears in the final days of the midterm campaign, part of an overt attempt to rally white supporters to the polls and preserve the GOP’s congressional majorities.”
Despite the failure of the last two elections, the media propaganda for the “inevitable” take-over of the House by the Democrats is also reaching a zenith. and “Election Expert” Charlie Cook is doubling down from his 2016 fiasco with this prediction that Democrats will gain 30-40 seats in the House. It's hard to remember who had a worse track record in 2016 than Cook.
According to Bianco Research (a private poll), “The spread between Democrat and Republican odds has widened in recent days on record volume. (Predictit.com) has decided the Democrats are going to retain the House.” But if this isn't manipulation (relatively easy and cheap), it is once again (as in 2014 and 2016) based on polls that, if not deliberately slanted to the Dems (most of them), are simply not picking up Republicans, Republican leaning independents and Trump Democrats who don't want to reveal their politically incorrect views, set forth in this article: “Why Do The Polls Keep Getting It Wrong?”
Many Republicans have stopped taking surveys. As Thorner heard one Internet commentator put it, “What really caught my eye was the pollster's admission that they had to make more than 27,000 phone calls to get those 500+ responses. That alone should convince anyone that polls are totally worthless these days.”
If you are CHINA, Europe or Silicon Valley or Institutions stuck with Silicon Valley stocks, you have every incentive to manipulate everything from polls to the “news” to the betting parlors to help the Democrats stop Trump. But the most accurate pollster of 2016, Rasmussen, says Trump is running at a 51% approval rating, which means he is running well over 51% in swing House and Senate seats. This is not the type of election predictions we are getting from the Charlie Cook types.
Most Americans have caught on to media bias. The ratings (Fox News greater than all its rivals combined) and declining newspaper subscriptions show it. There are plenty of examples from Barrack Obama to Stacy Abrams of major Democrat leaders urging illegal aliens to vote despite media claims Trump is lying. You can see their ravings for yourselfon the Internet, despite the “mainstream” media blackout. Things are so obvious and bad that even liberals wish some of their “leaders” like Hillary would just go away and shut up.
Like reality with inflation and the consumer economy, reality in early and absentee voting is diametrically opposed to the media and polling narrative. Here's an analysis on nationwide voting patterns: “The #WjhRepublican share of the votes cast so far is +1.0% against the corresponding date in 2016 and +1.7% against the “final” 2016 results. In contrast, the #Democrat share is +0.1% in the “daily” data but -0.2% in the “final.”
Republican turnout is running about 2% greater than Democrat turnout in 2016 in early voting. That was an election where Trump won 10 states that have incumbent Democrat Senators running in 2018 and 13 Democrat House districts vs. 23 Republican districts Hillary won. Based on this, I predict of 10 to 15 seat loss in the House and a 4-6 gain in the Senate for the Republicans, which if anything could be low for Republican results.
According to this report from Cleveland.com: “Ohio's suburban areas, many of which lean Republican, will represent a larger share of this year's early vote, at the expense of more urban, Democratic areas.”
A report by “National Review” questions, “Is the Arizona GOP's Early Vote Lead Insurmountable?” In Arizona the Republicans are about 52,000 ahead of their 2016 pace in early and absentee voting. The same is also true for Florida.
Republicans even have a good chance of taking the governorship of Connecticut, a state Trump only got 41% in 2016.
About 4 million ballots have been cast in Texas. There is no party registration here. The only thing we can use to determine who's voting is using (early and absentee) turnout from "Red" and "Blue" counties and compare to statewide average. Based on this analysis of early turn-out, the Texas GOP is 803,000 votes ahead.
One hundred eight House Democrats say not to defend our border, yet somehow “racist” Trump is going to lose on this issue. Even cautious Pence knows discussing this issue and who is funding the Caravans is a political winner.
An interesting article appeared at the American Thinker on Saturday, November 4: "2018 looks like a different midterm to me." Here is an excerpt from the article:
“The Democrats say that President Trump is running on fear about the caravan, for example. At the same time, they present no idea as to how to deal with it.
On "birthright citizenship", the Democrats play the fear card. At the same time, not one is willing to introduce legislation saying that a baby born to a woman without papers should be declared a citizen.
On the economy, Trump has the latest jobs report. The Democrats have more resistance."
So we will see a clash of waves. My money is that the GOP wave will be bigger.”
The bottom line is that Republicans are going to win, there will be no "blue wave." As in 2016, Republicans are not going to allow the media or pollsters to decide elections for them. It didn't work in 2016, and it isn't going to work on Tuesday, November 6, 2018.
Trump has three rallies scheduled for today:
- Cleveland, OH - 3:00 p.m. EST
- Fort Wayne, IN – 6:30 p.m. EST
- Cape Girardeau, MO – 9:00 p.m. CST (Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity will be at this rally.)
Google Fox News or Right Side Broadcasting Network (RSBN) to view the Trump rallies on your computer.
